Sunday, November 29, 2009

Unitech: High-risk, high-return deposit


Vidya Bala

The fixed deposit scheme of Unitech is suitable for investors who can stomach some risk. The sharp downturn witnessed in the real estate sector, fund crisis faced by many players in the sector and the slow pick-up in demand for real estate place the business of Unitech in the high-risk category. Unitech's large size, established brand name and improved financials have, however, been steadily aiding recovery.

The attractive interest rates of as much as 12 per cent per annum for a three-year period can be construed as a premium payout for the risk involved.

Investment strategies

Investors can adopt a two-pronged strategy to reduce their risk term/exposure.

Short tenure: One, investors can restrict the term of their fixed deposit to six months to one year, locking their money for a short period and yet enjoying an interest rate of 11 per cent – a return not presently available in bank fixed deposits and most credit worthy financial institutions.

A six-month deposit is, however, available only under the cumulative option (where interest is paid on maturity) and would entail a minimum investment of Rs 25,000.

Interest payout: Investors can consider the two-year interest payout option (called Scheme A), available on a quarterly basis, at 11.5 per cent per annum. This would allow cash out on the interest, even as the principal continues to earn returns.

Net of tax, assuming a 10 per cent tax slab, you would earn an interest of 10.3 per cent if you opt for a two-year term under Scheme A.

A payout option, would however, require you to invest a minimum sum of Rs 25,000. Banks currently offer a maximum of 7.5 per cent for up to 2 years.

Cumulative option

While the above two investment strategies would be our preferred mode of investments, individuals who can assume higher risk can consider taking the two-year cumulative option where interest would be compounded and paid out only on maturity. Without doubt, the cumulative option is certain to offer superior yields as you earn “interest on interest”. Besides, the company has made the cumulative scheme attractive by compounding interest on a monthly basis.

For instance, if you consider the two-year cumulative scheme, Rs 10,000 would grow to Rs 12,572 at the end of two years, at an interest rate of 11.5 per cent. This would work to a yield of 12 per cent over the term. However, net of tax (assumed at 10 per cent), the yield would be about 11 per cent.

Investors can refrain from the three-year term as bank interest rates may themselves see a revival. The latter would then provide a safer and attractive option.

The company

Unitech is among the few real estate developers with a pan-India presence. The company's present projects measure to 21.5 million sq.ft. across nine cities, that include large projects in Gurgaon, Noida, Mumbai, Chennai and Kolkata. After being hit by the 2008 real estate crash, Unitech was also faced with a situation of mounting debt by late 2008. While it took resorted to a debt restructuring programme initially, the company thereafter offered residential projects at discounts to market prices and launched a number of affordable homes in order to revive working capital flows. Simultaneously in 2009, it successfully raised about Rs 4500 crore of equity in two tranches through qualified institutional placements.

These measures have enabled the company to bring back its net debt to equity ratio to a healthy 0.6 times in September, from a worrying 1.8 times in March. A good portion of the QIP funds have been used to repay debt, with the rest being ploughed for construction work.

The company has sold 50 per cent of the total area launched, a good part being residential projects. It has raised about Rs 550 crore through these sales so far; the rest of the payments, being mostly linked to construction, would only flow in a staggered manner. The company's interest obligations appear adequately covered by profits, despite decline in earnings over the past year and a half.

Additional interest: The fixed deposit scheme offers an additional 0.5 per cent per annum for its employees, shareholders (minimum holding of 100 shares), property owners as well as senior citizens above 60 years.

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