Tuesday, May 26, 2009

Sensex may touch 19,500 level this year: Analysts

Driven by the election outcome, the benchmark index Sensex could catapult to 19,500 level this year, provided the government pushes through the reform agenda, analysts said.

Market experts believe that the reforms expected to be carried out by the new government may keep the market sentiment upbeat and propel the index to regain the levels, it had seen in 2007, in the months ahead.

"Our upside target for the Sensex is 19,500 this year which the index may climb if the government surprises us with a phenomenal budget," Morgan Stanley Managing Director Ridham Desai said in an investor summit arranged by television channel CNBC TV 18 here.

However, more probability for the index is to remain in mid-15,000 levels or about 10 per cent higher than current levels, he said.

The financial sector reforms which are there before the government include raising FDI cap from present level of 26 per cent from 49 per cent through amendment in Insurance Act, pension reform and banking sector reforms.

Echoing similar view Reliance Capital Asset Management equities head Madhusudan Kela, 19,500 levels were possible this year but would depend if the government aggressively carries out the expected reforms.

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